Business and Birthdays

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Partners & Friends,

Last week, Marcus, Phyllis, and I attended the AgView Executive Business Conference in St Pete, Florida. We find it a good strategy to step outside the business, get some external perspectives, review, and plan personal and business goals. There were several speakers who challenged our future personal and business plans. We met some great people at the conference as well.

For full transparency, here are some of the notes and bullets we brought home: 

  • We need to keep better track of our corn and bean break-evens as the year progresses and see different yield scenarios play out 

  • We need to shock test our balance sheets with different black swan scenarios in order to see how our financials react, and how we then should adjust our business to compensate

  • We should take a 2-hour break from technology every day to reduce stress and help maintain our personal perspectives

  • The most important pieces of equipment on the farm are our bodies—we must do our best to maintain physical and mental health

  • Nobody knows where commodity markets are headed

  • Success is measured in money and capital, while significance is measured by what you give back

  • $8 of every $10 we spend in agriculture is related to energy

  • We cannot flip a switch to convert to green energy, it is going to take much time, technology, and funding

  • Cost of labor is not coming back down

  • Soy diesel is the new green fuel star

  • What is DALL.E.2?

  • Life is short—family comes first. Your legacy are the memories you want to leave

The Hess Family Farm team is busy shipping grain, crunching input numbers, ordering chemicals, working on life goals, and relaxing. After stepping back and gathering all this new information, we now need to be diligent about setting new goals, and then find accountability to ensure we actually implement them.  

Brazil is harvesting beans. It appears there is a large crop and an abundance of acres to harvest. There will also be another 3-4% more acreage next year. Brazil surpassed the US in soybean production about 8 years ago, and now their production and exports are more significant than ours. Interest rates, at these levels, have changed several global economic plays. Current rates are far more historically normal, and we must take interest and energy prices into account throughout all of our planning.

January is birthday season, so there are cards to send and celebrations to participate in. We celebrated Marcus and Phyllis' birthdays on January 25th while still in St. Pete. There is nothing miniscule about the wonder and significance of creation and life!

Fall Prices:

Corn—5.66

Soybeans—13.45

Steve

What We Do Right

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Partners & Friends,

This is the time of year where we reflect on what choices we made are paying off. Not everything we do gives us the returns we expect; we will share some of that later. But first, here are some of the main takeaways from 2022 that helped deliver the successful year it turned out to be:

  • Early Planting—we strive to take planters to the field as early as April 4th, as field conditions are fit (soil conditions almost always trump weather forecast)

  • Multiple Nitrogen Applications—with the high cost and low availability of our main fertilizer (nitrogen), efficiency and timeliness of application are huge cost savers and allow us to be more environmentally friendly

  • Crop Consultant—we cannot do everything, and seeking help in areas we are weakest in or lack time for is often necessary

  • Lender Relationship—it is vital to have a strong relationship with our lender to be nimble and take advantage of opportunities presented

  • Flex Rents—the sharing of risk with an open upside to benefit from price strength and good yields is beneficial for landowners and tenants

  • Equipment Capacity—we must be able to get crop planted, tended to, and harvested in weather windows, hence the upgrading of our planters, sprayer, combine, and trucks

  • Technology—we are constantly upgrading and adopting new technology to deal with one of our greatest challenges, labor

  • Work Hard, Play Hard—time away with family is refreshing, rejuvenating, and provides better perspective on who we are and what we do

The Hess Family Farm team is busy selecting and purchasing inputs (seed, chemicals, fertilizer, and equipment) for this next crop year. Higher interest rates are adding a new dimension to this and other marketing decisions. Energy is still one of the biggest uncontrollable factors we deal with. The world economy is slowing, which will affect demand for our commodities. I recently heard that chip manufacturing is now in a surplus! It is funny and ironic how we overcompensate to find new balance.🤔 The crop in South America is looking to be a big one. The fluctuating dollar is just another item for us to monitor in regard to marketing decisions.

Our family is doing well. Grandchild #13 is due in April! We all had an opportunity to gather for a Christmas reunion this past week in Monmouth, IL. A visit to sing carols to Oma and Opa was made and enjoyed. We survived the extreme cold and have all waterers operational again. The multitude of animals, even new babies, made it through the cold quite well also.

 Fall Prices:

Corn—5.86

Soybean—13.92

Keep in touch,

Steve

Relationships

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Partners & Friends,

We are wrapping up 2022 and spending time counting our blessings of family, friends, business partners, neighbors, and team members. Hoping you are all doing the same. We had our annual meeting with our crop consultant to review and reflect over what we’ve learned the past year—hopefully more on that soon. The recent weather has been causing some extra chores and challenges.

May you all have a blessed and rewarding Christmas holiday involving much time for deepening relationships. That was a big part of the message of the birth we celebrate this season.

We appreciate all of you and look forward to a bright and glorious 2023! Enjoy and celebrate the love and blessings we have.

Steve

Going Green

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Partners & Friends,

We are going green—solar panels were installed at both farmsteads and are generating enough power to send some back “upstream”. To avoid the chance of damage to equipment, the arrays were installed on the roofs of the barns. The solar panels have been operational for about 10 days now. We will keep you updated as to cost efficiencies.

NH3 application is almost complete, only about 120 acres remaining. The weather should warm up again next and allow us to complete it. The Hess Family Farm has been shipping corn daily to the local TriOak feed mill. They are grinding over 15000 bushels per day! We are in the midst of crop plans for next year— considering planting more corn and reducing bean acres due to current economics. Seed prices are up 10-20% from a year ago, while fertilizer bills are over 40% higher than last year. Diesel is also a real wildcard. We are trying to be smart shoppers and efficient users of inputs (as always), but the pencil is a bit sharper this year.

Volatility is still the word for world markets. Ukraine's export corridor turns on and off at the whim of Putin. Inflation is still very high. The weather in Argentina is dry. Energy costs, especially natural gas and diesel, are high. Congress will be divided for the next 2 years. The dollar remains strong, dampening exports.

Everyone is looking forward to Thanksgiving this week! The holiday is a good reminder to be thankful for all our family and friends. We are a blessed nation, community, business, and family.

Fall 2023 Prices:

Corn—5.85

Beans—13.48

Enjoy this week and appreciate the outpouring of abundance we have around us!

Steve

Happy Birthday, USA!

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Partners & Friends,

The 4th of July celebrations this weekend mean we are already to the middle of summer (and year)! The pace of farm activities is a bit easier now that we’ve completed the first cutting of hay and finished the second spraying of corn last week. I just noticed some tassels today, which is good news because it means the corn crop is catching up after a slow start. I have not seen any local sweet corn at the market yet, but it can't be far off! The Hess Family Farm is in full construction mode, with some of the remodeling already at the rebuilding stage. The last of our grain has been shipped; now we need to prepare the grain center and storage bins for new crop. The weather over the next four weeks will be critical. We currently have no excess moisture, but the corn and soybeans are looking very good. The two-week weather forecast shows chances for rain (although nothing substantial) and no extreme heat.

The commodity market absorbed the quarterly grain stocks and planted acreage reports last Thursday with downward movement. The weather over the next few weeks will offer plenty of volatility. There has been some decrease in price in the fertilizer and fuel market, and we are looking to lock in some input (fertilizer, chemicals, seed, and fuel) for the 2023 crop soon. Here in Illinois, the Democrats and Republicans both claimed victory in the Republican primary.🤔 Phyllis opted out of serving as an election judge for the first time in decades due to the unfortunate issues with her eye.😔

The family is keeping busy with vacations, camps, shows, and fireworks. This month of July will fly by with county fairs and meetings to attend.

I hope you all have a great holiday, enjoying and appreciating the freedoms we have here!

Fall Prices:

Corn—5.95

Soybeans—13.90

To read a message from Dennis, a Ukrainian farmer, click here.

Please feel free to leave comments—we do our best to reply to every single one!

Steve