2020

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Partners & Friends,

Here in this season we pause to reflect on the past year and plan ahead for the next. We are constantly asking ourselves how we can make the operation more sustainable, do more with less, be more efficient, increase our margins, determine what our core competencies are and best utilize our resources. Here are some of our thoughts heading into next year.

  • Tile—our highest yields consistently come from the ground that is patterned drained. Earlier planting, more even stands, better root development, easier harvest and less soil compaction all add up to increase the ROI 

  • Seed Beans—raising seed gets us the newest and best varieties with the most yield potential, but means weed control must be tip-top, bin space is an issue, and combine clean-out on hot afternoons is the most unpleasant 

  • Equipment Efficiency—keeping track of hours per power unit and repair cost of each piece of equipment gives information about cost to operate, when it’s time to replace, and do we need it

  • Less Tillage—part of the effort to make the land more sustainable is fewer trips, less compaction, and covering more acres with existing labor

  • Management Zones—part of the strategy of our multi-hybrid planter is investing in the parts of fields with the most profit potential and accepting the lower-yielding areas for what they are

  • Marketing—this past season reinforced that we must take advantage of opportunities to lock in profit and that the market is always right

  • Human Resources—our most valuable commodity is people—team members, suppliers, grain originators, landowners; those relationships must be nurtured and maintained

There are lots of details involved in this list that must be managed for the bottom line to be positively affected. That's what our job is-to bring everything together to allow this 150 year-old business to carry on to the next generation. We appreciate all who are a part of this endeavor that allows us to keep our dream jobs.

It appears the trade talks have negotiated a Phase One deal. We anxiously await seeing all the details on paper and signed. The general economy seems so strong with the labor marker so tight. Hopefully this next year’s major weather anomaly will be somewhere else in the world. :)

We are all celebrating this Christmas season with family and friends while enjoying all the blessings we have been given by a very generous Creator. Lindsay is due with their 4th child any day now. Ali is dog and cat sitting close to college campus. Preparing for bringing in 2020 with family and friends.

Have a Great Contented New Year!

Steve

Grateful

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Partners & friends,

Thinking about all we have been challenged with this past year, this job is still a dream job. There are several things I am so thankful for.

  • For ancestors that weren't afraid of hard work and perseverance in the face of weather, economic and social issues

  • For rural America and the peace and tranquility we are afforded in this setting

  • For the opportunities to work with this beautiful plant and animal creation every day

  • For friends and neighbors who live out loving, serving and caring

  • For  freedom of religion and the wonderful community of believers we are in

  • For healthy Christ-seeking children and grandchildren 

  • For living in a country where we openly and freely choose who will govern us

  • For a loving God who loves and forgives me every day

Here on the farm we are in the midst of office crunch time. Paying year end bills, analyzing the past years crops, choosing seed and chemicals and crop rotations for this next season, and figuring out how to do more with less this next year, are a part of the processes we go through every year at this time. Outside the office we are cleaning equipment, hauling grain, helping some neighbors finish harvest, and constantly repairing tractors, trucks and combines. Our eleven head of cattle need to be fed and cared for each day. This is also the season for seed, marketing and management meetings.

As discombobulated as world politics seem my history reading reminds me that this is the way world governments have always been. Producing and protecting food supplies have been priorities for all civilizations. Trade wars have always been present. And world leaders have always recognized that a well-fed populace is easier to govern.

This is the season for Christmas programs. School and church programs remind us of why we celebrate and proclaim great joy from the Birth 2000 years ago. A real story for the ages. Ali has completed first quarter of her sophomore year. Looking forward to some time with family and friends these next few weeks.

Steve

New Year

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Partners,

The new year is moving so quickly! We are diligently finishing up last year’s records, getting W-2s and 1099s out, looking back at what we learned last year, and making plans about what to adjust for 2019. Our office seems to be a beehive of activity with some late nights involved. Schools are all back in session but there have been several late starts and snow/ice days this past week. The official snowfall this past weekend was around 14" and more is forecasted for tomorrow. Marcus attended the Top Producer meeting in Chicago this week and brought home some new management ideas. Steve was at the Precision Planting meeting in Tremont Thursday for catching up on the latest updates in planter technology.

The government shutdown has affected us a bit. The local FSA office is closed but will reopen for three days next week; but there is very little traffic through there this time of year anyway. The soybean market is very volatile according to who-says-what about trade negotiations with China. It seems that agriculture supports a border wall but also wants a rewrite of immigration policy to allow foreign workers access to our labor market legally. Now the leadership of the house wants to take a vacation! All of this political brinkmanship is quite the show to watch. 

All children and grandchildren back in school -  at home, elementary school, or college . All the snow days are enjoyed (except for the makeup work). Lots of sledding and snowman building. Phyllis and i hope to make it south for a bit in February. 

Current prices:

Corn 3.56

Soybeans 8.54

Fall Prices:

Corn 3.68

Soybeans 9.00

Be careful in the winter weather!

Steve

Summit

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Partners, 

Meeting season has begun, and Phyllis and I attended the DTN Summit this past week in Chicago. Here is a brief summary:

Global Outlook
Look for inflation and interest to gradually rise
Under Obama regulations were implemented at the rate of 1-2 per day--rate now is 0
Oil prices relatively flat

Landslide or Landrise?
Land values predicted to soften 2-4% in 2018
Farmers are struggling to pay for land (rent or principal payments) or capital investments (equipment)
Today's rent implies 4.23/bushel corn price

Your Farm, Their Food (General Mills, Kellogg's)
Food transparency is vital today--where did this food come from?
Safety and quality of products is a priority company decision
People are interested in progress toward the goal of food sustainability--not necessarily perfection

Do You Need a CFO?
How are growing operations keeping a grasp on financials during periods of expansion?
Outside eyes on business operations can be very objective and beneficial

Over The Wall: Think Like an Athlete by Andy Papathanassiou
Racers must be safe and conservative to stay in the race but also aggressive to win
We must look for new ways of thinking and solving problems
1. Iteration
2. Coaching
3. Overcoming distraction
4. Do the impossible

How Will Technology Producers Compete
There will be increased cooperation between ag tech suppliers to make farm data more accessible and useable
Data will become easier to collect and more useable
Sustainability is doing more with less, something farmers do all the time

Market Outlook
Huge stocks of corn, beans, wheat
Strong carry in market now--near 70% in corn
In pattern of lower highs and lower lows

Social Media Tips
Riverview Farms, Wild Farms--Education strategy; why are we doing what we're doing
Silent Schade Planting Co
Bryant Agricultural Enterprises, Ohio--community outreach, history and future
Tom Farms, Indiana--clear up misunderstandings, engage followers, not everything needs to be positive--post things happening right now

Weather
La Nina with ocean cooling now predicts some weather patterns in Midwest
Winter colder than normal with above average snowfall
Spring time above normal temps and rainfall
SA weather--rainfall returning to normal--predicted normal weather ahead

Fine Tune your Financials, Rabo and Farm Credit 
Recovery still 3 years out--production costs still average above farm gate prices
Planting discipline--reduce seeds per acre to lower costs
Cost of debt is increasing
Debt coverage ratios are expected to continue negatively
Cost of land has adjusted--needs to adjust lower over next two years
Diversify, Peer benchmarking, Data Management, Analysis, Cost levers

 

On the farm we are working on many projects--tiling, tree clearing, grain delivery, equipment cleanup and major year-end office tasks. The weather has been great--clear and dry--and the forecast is for no precipitation for the next two weeks (looks like no white Christmas).  We are in the process of breeding about 80 heifers this month which puts them calving next fall. 

Farmers are watching our president's handling of our various trade agreements with some major trading partners. We understand it is a global economy today and we cannot wall ourselves off from the rest of the world and have a very vigorous economy. The tax bill in Congress is not even a step toward simplification, as very few loopholes are being addressed. Our children and grandchildren will be dealing with these huge deficits and not eager to make sacrifices to live on a balanced budget.

The family is doing well and looking forward to Christmas break with some down time from school and studies. Looks like we will be spending a quiet day on the 25th and will get everyone together after the holiday week.

Current prices:

Corn 3.29

Soybeans 9.49

Keep in touch and any questions welcome!

Steve

Beetles & Celebration

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Partners,

Fireworks with Friends

We just finished celebrating the birthday of our country last week. What a time to pause and reflect and give thanks to the many who have sacrificed in order for us to enjoy the freedoms we now enjoy. It was good to spend time with family and friends and count the blessings.

Japanese Beetles

Delivering Grain

On the farm we are busy battling weeds and bugs. The dry weather has limited the effectiveness of some of the herbicides used and now we are under pressure from a rather large infestation of Japanese Beetles. There are some trees and shrubs they think are absolutely delicious. They have been in the area for about two weeks and are now moving into the crop fields. We are concerned, now that the corn is tasseling and shooting silks, that they will dine on the sweet tender ear silks. They are also stripping leaves on the outside of the soybean fields and without significant rain we are wondering what the effect on yields will be. We are also delivering grain, sweeping out bins, and still working on drainage projects that can be addressed without harming the growing crop. So for the month of June we recorded .7 inch of rain at Marcus's place, and 1.47 where Phyllis & I live. Forecast for next two weeks looks dry.

State of Illinois budget is making progress, although it is disappointing to see the governor was steamrolled and none of his proposals were included in the package. Democrats say not to worry, we will take them up later--right! American beef is now being sold in China after a 13 year hiatus. 

Ali on left

Softball Moms

Family is doing well. Alison had her last club softball weekend--sad to leave that stage of life. The crew (we managers included) are trying to get some time off in the summer for some fun relaxation. Next week is the 4-H show so time for bucket calves to make their debut.

Fall prices:

Corn 3.65

Soybeans 9.71

Keep in touch and stay cool! Comment & Like below.

Steve